The Challenge Rambles and riff raff about all this and that

4Dec/081

The influencers’ paradoxes

People in the ranks of alltop, so-called "gurus" such as Scoble or Jeremiah are what we consider as "influencers" in the under-under-under world of web-oh-two(too)-cool. This guys have crept out of the background noise of the bloggosphere and twitterati and made themselves more prominent than the Nerdy Average Joe that lurks the very same services this influencers use.

With raging ranks of followers and some fans that would make Tommy Lee jealous (I've seen commenters praise and sustain some of the most outrageous and, dare I say, dumb remarks) the influencers get an amplification power similar to the one achieved by Spinal Tap's "mine go to eleven" boxes.

The effect of this is quite simple: more people listen (and reply) to this guys than they do to the other "participants in the conversation". Some call that higher reach.

The outcome is a paradox.

Remember the days of mass media? Remember all the Social-web-2.0-power-to-the-masses fuzz? The premise was that everyone could be a Journalist, everyone could have a voice.

Certainly everyone can have a voice. But not everyone's voice can be heard. Since there is so much content out there there is no way everyone can get an audience. I'll agree that there is content out there that is of little or no appeal to most of the audience, but there is quite a deal of excellent and original writing that goes unnoticed.

The issue becomes that the same means that was (allegedly?) allowing a revolution in communications is now fostering individuals and groups of people that resemble more and more traditional media. The only difference is that they never had their content in print to begin with.

All the top-ranked blogs out there have heavy editorial lines. On the other end of things many newspapers and magazines are relying heavily on blogs and have opened comments on their usual content. The difference between those is becoming harder to tell. There are hints that tell them apart, such as very segmented content (most blogs deal with one general theme, whereas newspapers cover tons of different topics), very visible faces / personalities behind blogs and a general lean on the side of bloggers to share opinions more explicitly.

The way Marketing bucks have to deal with this popular blogs is resembling more and more that of traditional media. Or maybe worst. But that's ok.

Now, to round up the paradox idea -if you haven't understood what the main paradox is so far: bloggers resemble journalists and vice versa, even when they both shout out loud that they are quite different- yet another issue pops up when bloggers monetize their content, and while doing so their so-called transparency is put to the trial. I'm affraid many have succumbed to journalism's worst sin: selling of. Of course this is not the case with all bloggers.

The other fairly visible tendency I see in some of this influencers is that they are tending to rely on repeating themselves and using the same couple of formulas over and over again. One of the overly-used ones is deceiving the readership into believing they are participants when, all truth be said, they are being leached.

There is a fine line between calling for interaction and dialogue and abusing those who follow you to get content and ideas.

It might be just that I am a cynic. Very cynic.

This post belongs to the shifting times, blurring lines series. Read them all or learn what the series is about.

Edit: David, makes some similar remarks over his blog as well.

4Dec/080

Shifting times, Blurring lines

Is a corporate Blog a PR or a Marketing play? Is it both? Can PR afford stay divorced from online marketing?

What is the difference between the online presence of traditional media and the new heavily popular blog driven sites such as techcrunch?

Do forums serve a purpose for support organizations within companies? Marketing? Public Relations?

Who should fund this things inside a corporation? who should be the stakeholders? Who is accountable for success or failure?

This and other similar questions pop-up like fungi on a hot wet day when working on Social Media Marketing.

The landscape of media and online marketing is rapidly changing. Most of the time changes happen just quickly enough so that people involved in them directly tend to have a feeling of being just one step behind what is happening. Traditional organizations, thinking and decision-making won't do it anymore.

I intend to write up a series of posts looking at things that I consider are changing, at differences that are becoming more pronnounced and percieved differences that aren't so.

28Oct/081

I admit it. I don’t get it.

Watching the markets lately has been a bizarre experience. I'm not an expert in economy by any means, but until recently I could understand and even forecast the market's general direction.

Right now I can't. I don't understand why it goes up or down. I don't get the roller coaster.

The only pseudo-logical explanation I can come up with is: hysteria. Those in decision making / buying and selling / trading understand as much as I do and go about buying and selling compulsively.

If anyone has any smarter explanations, feel free to put me out of my ignorance on the comments.

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30Sep/080

Orthodox Economy is an Oxymoron

I have very seldom display my thoughts outside the social media / web / marketing world lately. The sheer amount of stupidity that I have been reading lately has called for an intervention.

image credit: scriptingnews @ flickr

image credit: scriptingnews @ flickr

The world is in recession. Forget about being politically correct and trying to avoid panic by not using terms that sound "so very negative" about the economic situation. Things are screwed, not looking good and policy makers are as lost as they usually are.

I had a professor that once stated: "Economists are the only professionals who see their theories being grounded on a daily basis and still abide to their discourse". The concept proves to be right now more than ever.

According to wikitionary Orthodox means:

Adhering to whatever is traditional, customary or generally accepted.

Well, if economy was written in stone "Orthodox Economy" would make some sense as a general concept, but people would hardly make any money. But that's not the case.

Economy, as a general (and almost abstract) entity is always changing. People and companies find new ways to make and loose money on a daily basis. Markets adapt, laws change, conditions get altered. Prices rise and fall. It is a living and breathing animal.

This does not mean that crisis such as the one that's currently underway can't be foreseen; but rather that what has proven to be traditional, customary or generally accepted in the past might not be so as the world evolves.

I expect that as readers go through the previous paragraph I'll make a statement for the bailout.

Wrong.

The proposed bailout is too little, too late. The usual band-aid on a broken leg stuff. It will (if passed this Thursday) create little relief on the very short term and a big problem in the medium to long term.

Something must be done in the short term. Trust must be restored, credit must flow again. "Bailing Out" does not restore trust. Or would you trust the plane you just bailed out off?

A money injection into the financial system is just a minor thing, 700 billion can be sucked up almost overnight. But what's required is not a rescue, but a reform. Life without credit is not a nice thing, trust me. (Over Argentina mortgages have ~24% interest rates)

Over my 29 years I have witnessed 3 serious economic crises. To be honest I only have recollection of the last 2. The last time the banking system was so screwed up that the infamous "corralito" was imposed over all of us. People could not withdraw more than X amount of money per month. Things went down the drain, we had devaluation and now we live with inflation.

Things here weren't solved, just fixed enough to get going and sooner or later Argentina will be facing another economic crisis.

Final word is: timing for this crisis couldn't be worst. No politic wants to put out his head for chopping with less than a month left until the general election. But I'm afraid some serious and not-so-popular decision making must happen. And it can't wait 29 days, much less until Inauguration Day. Hopefully real leadership will surface as it has done in the past.

4Jun/080

Killing Drafts & Ghost Ideas

About 10 minutes ago I finished going through the draft posts on this blogs. The original number was 47, current number is 15.

Many of those posts where no more than a couple of lines long. Some I couldn't even remember what drove me to start writing them in the first place. Others would of never seen the light of day anyway, since they where pretty aggressive rants and reactions to certain experiences, cathartic words that rejoice my soul on the sheer thought of having the possibility to *maybe* (just maybe) push the "publish" button.

This seems to be a recurring fact of life with me and literature. I have started writing books (fiction) at least 3 times. On neither of those cases did I go over 100 pages. I still have those drafts, but, much to the demise of the characters frozen in time, I never found it in me to go back and continue those truncated stories.

I think the only way to be somewhat successful in writing for me is to do things Hemingway-ly. Not that I would even dream on comparing my literary skills with great Ernest (as I also wouldn't try to compare my Drinking habits), but in case you don't know, the guy really struggled to get his writing done.

Most of his original scripts have word counts all over the place. He forced himself to write at least a certain number of words every day. If I wanted (or had the time to) write the stories and non-fiction stuff I have in my mind that is the path I should follow. Guess I could call it a method.

Over time I have learned to assume that some (most?) things won't ever see the light of day. This statement is true not only for writing but also applies successfully to all things. If I had to estimate the percentage of ideas that actually become something tangible, I'd have to admit those account for less than 1% of the total.

Some ideas are plainly bad, some are non-viable, some just die because I don't pay enough attention or push hard enough. The latter category is painful. I'm haunted by some of those ideas for years. "Ghost ideas" I call them. The only exorcism is to see them realized (usually by somebody else) or refurbished into novel thoughts that actually make it into the real world.

I lack method, I lack time and I probably lack the will to transform ideas from gray matter haunting ghosts to living and breathing experiences.

6May/081

Yet another pointless post on Microsoft and Yahoo!

Who would want to read another post on the latest soap opera that stormed through the geek-world? Most people won't, but that is not going to prevent me from writing one.

Yahoo played the part of tough cookie. I'm surprised that Jerry Yang didn't go back to Balmer with a note saying "its not you, its me. I'm so confused, can't commit!". The whole thing has been too hormonal, too teenager. And Y! trying to make the School's ugly nerd (Microsoft) jealous by going with the quarterback (Google) was just hilarious. Hilarious on an uncomfortable-to-watch, I-really-should-not-be-laughing way.

That being said, I must admit I'm happy that the thing didn't kick off.

Why is it good? Because I truly believe Yahoo can do a better job in trying to innovate and cut the advantage Google has on its own rather than with Microsoft. If it had happened, Microhoo would most certainly lost a lot of users (who'd have nowhere to go but to Google).

I think Yahoo! thought they were too good to be true for far too long. Now they realize they are in a tough spot. That is the reason why they now have a new strategic plan to start moving their engines. What I dislike about their plan is that its implementation so far seems to have relied more on accquiring than on innovating from within.

Someone recently told me: "Yahoo is the place where good apps go to die". The transition from Garage startup to big corporation didn't suit Yahoo well. Google is undergoing that same process in which they no longer are a bunch of kids doing fun stuff but a corporation that makes business. I want to see how they handle the first time they have to sack a good chunk of their employees.

They have a good core of nice applications, and did some smart shopping (del.icio.us, flickr), but they need to start doing something to take stuff a step forward. Integrating logins is not integrating applications, and that is all they've done. Besides, can anyone tell me what serious never-seen-before innovations yahoo has come up with on any of the stuff they own and run for the past... 6 years?

Now, when I read Jerry's post on Yodel I know things are wrong:

We know the spotlight will probably stay on us for a while. That’s fine — we have a clear path ahead and momentum to build on. And thousands of dedicated Yahoos around the world who have held up well to scrutiny. It’s now up to us to show what we Yahoos can really do.

Dude, having the spotlight on you is not "fine". It is awesome. You should leverage that to motivate your people, inspire your engineers and get you out of that nowhere land where you've been so comfortably sleeping in and start build that "momentum" you talk about. You are on everybody's mouth and not because of a sex or drugs scandal, that can't be that bad.

I reserve the opinions on Microsoft's web applications for myself. But let's just say that if my yahoo mail started looking and working like the live.com one, I'd drop it quick. If it started working like their latest OS, I'd go hermit and never taouch a computer again in my life.

Bottom line is: If yahoo! gets its act together an Google starts behaving more and more like a "large corporation" (I see the signs already) there is still a chance. That chance wouldn't of existed if Microsoft got its hands on Yahoo!.

See, Mariano, told you I smelled a post coming.

27Apr/081

Is Social Media the extremophile of marketing?

For those who don't have the luck of being married to a Biotech Phd (well, almost Phd) here's the wikipedia definition on extremophiles:

An extremophile is an organism that thrives in and may even require physically or geochemically extreme conditions that are detrimental to the majority of life on Earth.

Hopefully the definition helps in the hyperbole I'll make an effort to build here.

For the past 2 years or so we've been hearing about the web 2.0 bubble. I have advocated this belief myself, stating that many companies are either overpriced or directly unprofitable; "doomed" for short. The most recent post from the "mayhem is near, repent" series I have read is one by Dennis Howlett, its title is worth of a Stephen King novel: "Are we headed for a nuclear winter?".

It is true that the economy is cooling (more evidently so in the US) and that will drive costs cut, heads rolling and venture capitals to become as cold as an iceberg. Many companies will fall, particularly when credit starts to get crunched (an unavoidable step if policy makers don't want to get us into a much nastier situation). The web 2.0 bubble will burst sooner or later.

But "Social Media" and many "services" that came to life under the two-point-oh label are here to stay. Sure enough many sites will disappear or evolve due to the harsh economic conditions, but the same way that "portals" didn't just vanish into nothingness in 1999, web 2.0 will not become just a mere memory overnight.

A recession is to Marketing what "physically or geochemically extreme conditions" are to microorganisms: not good. When the belt starts to tighten we all know that Marketing spend is one of the first to suffer.

I won't get as optimistic as Jeremiah and say social media will be "effective", but rather keep a more moderate point of view. I'll say it will "survive" I have to admit that I tend to be more conservative on expectations because I know that not every single CEO and CMO out there shares (or gets) the enthusiasm for Social Media. Jeremiah writes:

(...) Social Media, which tends to have lower costs than other forms of marketing (commodity tools) can be very cost effective for those wanting to get customers to spread and share messages. On the other hand, marketers need to be careful, because doing it wrong will result in more work, and in some situations, brand backlash.

Cost effective is good, particularly under economical uncertainty, but I think the most important features that will keep the social media marketing boat floating are adaptability, accountability and being (somewhat) measurable. (For honesty's sake I must say the latter two are sketched on Forrester's report).

Here are the thoughts on SMM's advantages:

Adaptability.
Social Media Marketing is adaptable due to what I believe is its definition (for once the wikipedia definition of SMM didn't please me, so I'll give my own): "A direct engagement from a company to its -prospective and existing- customers through online community (social) tools".

Note: although I do believe that things such as transparency and authenticity are premises for a successful Social Media Marketing strategy, I left the terms out of the definition because I can certainly picture scenarios where strategists would leave them out of the equation.

Engagement is constant and tools are variables. Processes are variable as well. This makes SMM a very adaptable task; it can downscale our upscale depending on available budget, tools and bandwidth.

Accountability.
One of the most beautiful things about SMM is that it puts real people's faces to otherwise faceless companies. People relate better to other people rather than to logos or press releases. This is a double-bladed weapon, though. As Social Media Marketers our visibility goes up, but so does our accountability. If I say something or do something wrong on a public site it is my head that's out for chopping. And that is refreshing.

I've witness lack of accountability for far too long in the corporate world. We, as corporations, have grown the awful habit of shielding behind teams and collectiveness when things don't work. I have as a personal premise that if I screw up I'll stand for my mistake (and hopefully learn something out of it).

The same happens when a campaign or social media marketing initiative backfires. There is -quite usually- a personal "touch" (for lack of a better term) on this ideas that can be backtracked like breadcrumbs to the intellectual author. So bosses always have someone to shout at, and that is always cathartic for those in decision making positions.

Measuring.
Social Media Marketing's metrics accuracy stand someplace in between Internet and traditional advertising. It is not possible to relate sales with spend as effectively as with, say, Ad Words but it is not as nebulous as TV ads. Yet, there is a lot that can be learnt and turned into numbers, figures, pie-charts, trends and power point presentations with SMM. In the worst case scenario it can serve as a barometer for the general sentiment towards a brand.

Bonus.
There is one other very powerful reason why SMM will be around even Marketing budget will equal to a take-a-penny tray: People. Fortunately there is a growing number of customers who have grown numb to traditional marketing BS. There is still value on traditional Marketing, but the signal-to-noise ratio on consumer's ears is tilting towards the noise side. There's a whole new niche that won't ever get engaged by a TV ad but will become active participants and even evangelists for a brand if the messaging is good enough. Many companies would of never turn around part of their negative image if they didn't engage into SMM.

I'm quite certain there's a big chunk of the pie of customers that would be lost if SMM was ditched. And that is something no companies are willing to do.

My prediction: SMM is like roaches; it will survive the nuclear winter.

This post was adapted to Spanish and posted @ Denken Über. Thanks to Mariano for the invitation.

14Feb/080

And then you get inspired…

I recently ranted about the Copyright laws and how little sense they make. Coincidentally (like coincidence exists!), I found myself browsing TED, as I do every once in a while, and came across an awesome speech by Larry Lessig.

It lasts about 20 minutes, but it is well worth every single second. I think it expresses my own opinions on this regard quite closely.

Two concepts that reached deep into me: the line of thought on how sound recording created a read-only Culture and how the Internet is helping revert culture back to a read-write status. The second bit is almost at the close of the conference. Larry brings up a really serious question: "We live life against the law". In our everyday (digital?) life we brake the law, and that, in a democracy, is an unacceptable state.

Here's the video:


Quite inspiring indeed.

12Feb/080

We are oh, so outdated!

This article on the New York Times, which I got to thanks to Joho, put me to think about the never ending question of Copyright laws and overall intellectual property regulations. Regulations that have become so archaic that they don't even start to consider some scenarios that we have become to regard as everyday things.

Copyright is a messed up thing. I shall keep my opinions on why I think the whole concept is misplaced, misconceived and plainly wrong. I think I am rather radically positioned on that, thus I'll just remain quiet.

The concept of Copyright is modern idea. Its history is tightly tied to that of mass distribution and duplication of content. It was only when the printing press was invented (cutting book ownership costs and boosting book publications) that the need to pay authors for their work became a reality. Before that authors had to rely on patrons to support their labor.

I could continue with the history lesson, writing a dissertation on the end of the bourgeoisie and consequently ending Maecenates, yada, yada... You get the picture. Copyright is modern, a consequence of mass production and social changes.

So how is it that a rather modern concept became outdated? Because technology has changed the creation and distribution of ideas in ways that were unimaginable only 25 years ago.

I'm not stating anything new when I say that governments envy the pace and speed of snails. It is a known fact. The only way they act swiftly is due to pressure. Normally this pressure comes either from lobbies or public perception issues.

Out of the previous paragraph we can assume that there has not been any kind of intent from the general public or lobbyists to change the current regulations on Copyright and Intellectual property. Further more, a lot of content-distribution corporations have put quite a lot of effort on getting policy makers not to address this issues. Why so? Simply because it yielded a ton of profits during the last 100 or so years.

Yet, those profits are quickly becoming red numbers on books and even the dumbest corporations (ahem! music industry) start to realize the landscape has changed. A lot.

New regulations should not be left to policy makers, corporations or authors alone. There are tons of different shades on the million different ways to look at intellectual property. Is intellectual property proprietary or does it belong to "humanity"? Now that distribution is cheap and accessible, is there still a need for third parties involved in the author-to-consumer chain? Are patents really applicable to software developments? Who owns collective work? The questions build faster than copyright infringement demands pile up on courts.

The discussion should span from Philosophy to Technology, from authors to consumers. No voice should be left unheard, we have one-in-a-lifetime opportunity to change the way we create and the way we inspire. Let's not waste it.

30Jan/080

Social Media, Metrics, The trap: brain collage (part 2)

Social Media Marketing has a different approach than traditional marketing does (Ain't I good at stating the obvious?!). This is not due to any sort of altruism, but by a clear and simple business need. As people started having conversations, companies were left aside, losing influence, eventually loosing market share and, more importantly, falling in positive public perception charts and brand influence.

I won’t quote any comeback examples for this, those are well known: companies that were getting a lot of heat, started listening and acted accordingly. It paid dividends for a couple of companies so we witness how the trend becomes mainstream on a daily basis.

Why is social media marketing effective? Because it treats human beings not as potential buyers, but like people who do more in life than carrying a credit card. We all like to be treated in a special way, the small details matter. Mark noted this after a vacation. Personalized touches can mean everything. It can turn a detractor into a promoter, an angry and unpleased customer into a brand loving individual.

Of course such turnarounds are only achievable if words are backed up with actions. It is the combination of the human touch (saying “we care”) and a swift resolution (demonstrating “we care”) that makes this possible.

Customers with voice don't cope well with canned replies from a call center, or the rigidity of traditional press releases, just to give a couple examples. That model will not disappear, but rather reduce the place it occupies in companies. The great disadvantage of more human interactions is that they cost more. For example, a help desk employee that can try to solve an issue and think by himself is prone to require a higher salary that those that can only stick to a pre-written script.

The days of the automated customer and the automated reply are over. Technology has given everyone the potential to be listened. Sure enough, there are changes that will occur. As novelty wears off and ranting your guts out if you had a lousy experience with a company becomes mainstream the signal to noise ratio will, most certainly, change. Yet there is a lesson to be learned, a lesson that can be applied not only online but throughout all areas of a company that ever get to contact customers: the human touch, the one on one interaction is a powerful force that we have only started to unleash.

Social media in general is only bound to get more important in the future. The straight talk of blogs, the peer support of forums and the collective knowledge of wikis will only grow in importance over the next years. Being mainly human-driven activities pinpointing the right resources is as important as the ideas themselves. Building a blog, for instance, is relatively cheap an easy. Getting the right people that can talk in a way that reaches people is much harder. Individuals become key. Great individuals working together build great companies.

This changes should mean a profound change in corporate culture. The minute customers become more than just walking targets for cheap advertising for the decition makers a transformation in much of how we used to do business needs to change. If the change is just superficial, all text and no substance people will notice it and regard the efforts as what they are: lame attempts to mimic what others have done.

Part 3 of this series will deal with the approach to analytics under the light of this line of thought.